Let me do a quick overview of the market before going to sleep.
First, as always, I am not a financial advisor or analyst. It is my hobby to analyze the stock market. So DON'T make a decision based on this video.
C fund: C fund already formed a "Shooting Star". If you look at the bar, the longest bar falls at $411.14/share the floor price: 5.6% below the current price. It means the lowest point the market can sink to if something happens.
Here is the playbook: It will drop to 422.92, about 1.65% below the current price. Next, it will rebound to $425-$427. Then go down 411.14. If it breaks the $411.14/share floor price, it will reach 396.66: 8.37% below the current price. The chance is very low. However, it will eventually get down there one day in the near future.
Also, FYI: at this point: the big institution is not buying many of SPY. So far in June big institution bought 55.22M regular institution bought 1.14B wealthy people: 1.55B retail investor: 2.04B.
The floor price is about 137.26 per share, 5.77% below the current price. S fund is fully backed up by the institution this month.
So far in June big institution bought 17.19M regular institution bought 1.76M wealthy people: 8.50M retail investor: 796.86K
The worst scenario is that it will drop 3.57%, then back up again.
F fund
F fund has reached the max of the downside in the past few weeks. It is expected to rebound back to 100 per share as investors expect no interest hiking. 100 is the ceiling price. This last week has 476.62M: 50% is coming from the big institutions.
I fund,
It will be down 10.9% based on the graph over the next few months. In the first week of June, 715.06M outflow among all the investors. 49% came from big institutions.
