Tom Lee says the real bull market hasn’t even begun, predicting massive growth in the stock market, suggesting the S&P 500 will more than double by 2030 thanks to AI-driven productivity and economic strength. But when I break down the numbers, history, and fundamentals, that kind of growth would require an unrealistic 28% annual earnings increase — something we've never seen, not even during past tech booms. While Wall Street, Cramer, and Cathie Wood cheer on this rally, I stay grounded in principles: focus on valuation, avoid hype, and invest with discipline. Whether the market soars or crashes, sticking to logic over emotion is what really builds wealth.
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